I’ve always been guilty of being hooked on the History Channel. Sometimes, shamefully, I sit transfixed by the glowing TV. Armed with snack-food and more free time than any preacher might approve of, I have been known to watch the History Channel for stretches of greater than six hours before.
At any rate, they’ve been airing a lot of UFO shows recently and it got me thinking — how much evidence would be required to convince the public that extra-terrestrials have visited (or do visit) our planet? I’m not saying they actually have or actually do. However, I find the question extremely interesting.
There have been countless sightings, not only by toothless cow farmers, but also by highly trained (and hopefully reliable) military personnel from many countries (including the U.S. and, notably, including virtually all ranks — all the way up to Generals). There have been incidents such as the Phoenix Lights incident where thousands of people witnessed a UFO for extended periods of time. Additionally, there are more ex-government workers and ex-military personnel blowing the whistle on this issue than on practically any other out there. What I mean to say is — there are a whole bunch of UFO sightings around, and many of them are from trained personnel whose jobs are to observe accurately (many of the personnel in question were stationed at facilities that housed nuclear warheads at the time of the sightings — these are people we’d like to think are reliable both in their observational faculties and in their moral natures).
I’m not saying little green men are visiting our planet; clearly, however, something is happening that is causing these people to see things. Here’s an interesting idea, though: suppose the reports are true. What level of evidence would the public need to believe them? For example: if the Phoenix Lights incident was truly caused by extra-terrestrial visitors, then it seems like clear-as-day evidence of this has been completely ignored by the public. When people don’t believe the Phoenix Lights were aliens, they don’t believe it based on the evidence or the government’s explanation of it. An unreliable government comprised of habitual liars claimed that the lights were caused by flares dropped in military training exercises. The full range of phenomena reported by people could not be explained by flares. Therefore, people do not reject the report based on any strong reason, and they do so, perhaps, in spite of the evidence.
I talked to my dad about this some today and he made a point I’ve heard quite a lot. What he said was the following: “how could a government that can’t keep any secrets at all keep such a huge secret as this for multiple decades?” The only answer I had for him is “they haven’t been able to keep it secret at all.”
Whether the reports of alien visitors are true or not is beside the point — you can’t claim that the government has been able to keep anything silent at all in these cases. If aliens really have been visiting us, then the government has done an awful job keeping it quiet; there have been way too many whistle-blowers running around trying to sell their stories.
The government hardly needs to keep anything secret at all, in fact. People buy the ridiculous explanations they give for hard-to-explain UFO sightings (swamp gas, weather balloons, mass hallucinations, flares, etc). People who claim to see UFO’s are deemed mentally unstable or liars out to gain attention or make a buck (although this is true in many cases, why should we automatically assume each case is like this?).
I have no idea how much evidence would be required to convince myself or the public at large that aliens are afoot. Perhaps something like a government admission and declassification of UFO footage would do the trick. The Mexican government did this with footage of 11 UFO’s taken by one of its aircraft, and the British government is supposedly declassifying a bunch of UFO documents this coming year. Even then, however, will people be convinced? Will I? I’m still skeptical on both counts. All of it’s pretty hard to swallow.